Archive for February, 2011

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Bodog: Odds To Win American Idol Season 10

02/28/2011

Click here to bet on American Ido Season 10 at Bodog Sportsbook!

Lauren Alaina 7/1
Julie Zorrilla 15/2
Paul McDonald 8/1
Casey Abrams 9/1
Scott McCreery 10/1
Tim Halperin 10/1
Jacob Lusk 12/1
Stefano Langone 14/1
Pia Toscano 14/1
Kendra Chantelle 15/1
Robbie Rosen 18/1
Naima Adedapo 20/1
James Durbin 20/1
Lauren Turner 25/1
Haley Reinhart 25/1
Jovany Barreto 25/1
Karen Rodriguez 25/1
Ashthon Jones 25/1
Thia Megia 30/1
Brett Loewenstern 35/1
Clint Jun Gamboa 35/1
Tatynisa Wilson 40/1
Jordan Dorsey 40/1
Rachel Zevita 50/1

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NCAA Bracketology (part 3)

02/28/2011

March Madness and the NCAA Tournament are unquestionably the peak time for college basketball betting. In our first NCAA Bracketology preview, we told you about our weekly free newsletter and annual Bracketology article, which will become available on March 15th. In our second blog, we discussed how certain seeds (2 through 4) fare in the opening round. Now, we move to the more “upset-minded” matchups of 5 vs. 12 and 6 vs. 11.

The 2007 Tournament saw all four five seeds advance to the second round, but that has been the exception to the rule as 20 of the previous 22 tournaments have seen at least one 12 seed upset a 5. Last year, it was Cornell over Temple, which we correctly predicted. The year before, there were three 12’s that pulled the upset and overall there have been 35 upsets since the field was expanded in 1985. It is interesting to note that two 5 seeds last year – Butler and Michigan State – made it all the way to the Final Four.

For years, it has been noted that six seeds actually outperformed their fifth seeded counterparts. However, here too, we are seeing a litany of upsets. Over the last five tournaments, eight 11’s have beaten a 6 (against 12 losses). Last year, a pair of 11’s – Washington and Old Dominion (we called the latter) – advanced, meaning there have been 33 upsets all-time, nearly matching what we have seen from the 5 vs. 12 matchup. Like the 5 seeds last year, it is interesting to note that both six seeds that made it out of the first round won at least two games.

So, it’s obvious that you have to pick some upsets here. What should you be looking for? Well for starters, there is something new this year that we discussed in Part 1. The addition of extra ‘play-in’ games means that two of the 12-seeds could be at a distinct disadvantage in this year’s tournament. We’ll probably be looking to take the 5 seeds that draw a team that has already played its way into the field of 64. Mid-majors as 12 seeds are usually popular picks. On the flip side, when you have a 12 seed from a ‘power six’ conference and they are matched up against a 5-seed from a mid-major, there tend to be “upsets” as well.

As for the 6-11 matchup, a lot of these picks are simply gut feelings. Typically, of the six seeds that do win a 1st round game, at least one is going to win twice. So, basically take a look at the four six seeds and go-against the ones that look weakest to you. It’s also in your best interest to do your homework on the individual teams and matchups!

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NCAA Bracketology Preview (part 2)

02/26/2011

March Madness and the NCAA Tournament are unquestionably the peak time for college basketball betting. In our first NCAA Bracketology preview, we told you about our weekly free newsletter and annual Bracketology article, which will become available on March 15th. However, before we get to that, we will be going over the individual history of how certain seeds fare against one another in the first round of the NCAA Tournament.

In Part 1, we told you that #1 seeds are 104-0 straight up all-time vs. #16 seeds and went 4-0 against the spread last year. We also talked about the expansion of the “opening round” or play-in games from one to four and how that will impact your office pool.

In this edition, we will discuss how teams seeded 2 through 4 fare in the first round against teams seeded 13 through 15. For winning college basketball picks throughout the NCAA Tournament, please visit our picks page.

2009 marked the first NCAA Tournament where every team seeded 1 through 3 made it to the Sweet Sixteen. Since the field was expanded to 64 teams in 1985, teams seeded 2 through 4 are a strong 169-43 SU. As you would expect 2 seeds have the highest success rate, losing only four times to a 15 seed and the last time this happened was 2001.

One 3 seed lost in the first round of the tournament last year and that was Georgetown, who bit the dust against Ohio U. That was the 16th all-time loss by a 3-seed in the first round.

It’s almost becoming automatic that you have to play against one 4 seed in the first round of the NCAA Tournament each year. That’s because 22 of the previous 26 tournaments have seen at least one four seed go down in the first two days of the Big Dance. We called last year’s upset with Murray State over Vanderbilt.

This year’s 4 seeds could be in for more trouble. That’s because some of the teams that could end up as 13 seeds in this year’s tournament look very dangerous. Keep an eye on the following schools and make a note of them when the brackets are officially released: Coastal Carolina, Belmont, Oakland and Cleveland State. You can bet that the higher seeded opponents that draw any of these teams will not be happy come Selection Sunday!

Up next we will take a look at the 5 vs. 12 and 6 vs. 11 matchups, which have an incredible history of upsets.

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NCAA Bracketology Preview (part 1)

02/25/2011

March Madness and the NCAA Tournament are unquestionably the peak time for college basketball betting all year long. The Tourney is probably the most wagered on event of the year with the exception of the Super Bowl. Winning college basketball picks are always available at Vegas Experts where you can also download our free weekly handicapping newsletter, which contains free basketball picks from our expert sports handicappers.

The final issue of the My EDGE Newsletter will be published on March 15th, just in time for the 2011 NCAA Tournament. This is our most popular issue of the year as it contains our annual Bracketology article, where we assist you in filling out the brackets so that you can win your office pool. Note that these college basketball picks are straight up and not against the spread.

Last season, we had Duke making it to the National Title Game and also had West Virginia in the Final Four. In 2009, we correctly predicted that North Carolina would win it all, just like we did in 2005 when they beat Illinois (we predicted that exact Tournament Final). In 2007, we not only had the right Tournament Final and winner (Florida over Ohio State), but we correctly projected the entire Final Four field! In 2008, we correctly predicted seven of the Elite Eight teams (only missing on Cinderella Davidson).

In the upcoming weeks, we will be reviewing how certain seeds have fared against one another in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Obviously, we should not need to tell you that a #1 seed has never lost to a #16 seed in 104 all-time matchups. Last year did see top seeds go a dominating 4-0 ATS, winning every game by more than 20 points.

New to this year’s tourney is the advent of multiple “play in” games or as College Basketball powers like to call them “opening round games.” Beginning in 2001, on the Tuesday following Selection Sunday in Dayton, OH, typically the two lowest seeded teams in the field have squared off for the right to play the highest seeded team in the field. It is important to note that since 2004, these “play-in games” have not been very competitive with every contest decided by eight points or more. Last season was the first time the underdog won or covered in four seasons.

For this season, the “opening round” has been expanded to four games. Two of them will feature teams seeded 16th in their region, thus making them obvious candidates for “one and done.” However, there will also be two “play in games” between teams seeded 12th in their region, which is certainly important to note because, as well all know, 12 seeds have a strong history of going on and upsetting 5 seeds. Because of this, you’ll probably be required to have your brackets filled out a few days earlier as previously the “play in game” had been largely disregarded by most office pools.

Up next we will be taking a look at how #2 through #4 seeds have historically fared in the first round.

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Odds To Win 2011 NBC National Heads Up Poker Championship

02/24/2011

Phil Ivey 12/1
Daniel Negreanu 15/1
Phil Galfond 20/1
Phil Hellmuth 20/1
Tom Dwan 20/1
Erik Seidel 20/1
Chris Ferguson 20/1
Ted Forrest 25/1
Barry Greenstein 25/1
Gus Hansen 25/1
Faraz Jaka 25/1
Doyle Brunson 25/1
Daniel Cates 25/1
Allen Cunningham 25/1
Patrik Antonius 25/1
Gavin Smith 30/1
Bertrand Grospellier 30/1
Erick Lindgren 30/1
Johnny Chan 30/1
David Williams 30/1
Antonio Esfandiari 30/1
Michael Mizrachi 35/1
Frank Kassel 40/1
Eugene Katchalov 40/1
Phil Laak 40/1
Howard Lederer 40/1
Justin Young 40/1
Dwyte Pilgrim 40/1
John Racener 40/1
Eric Baldwin 40/1
David Benyamine 40/1
Andy Bloch 40/1
Liv Boeree 40/1
James Bord 40/1
Joe Cada 40/1
Nicolas Chouity 40/1
Jonathan Duhamel 40/1
Annie Duke 40/1
Scotty Nguyen 40/1
Annette Obrestad 40/1
Eli Elezra 40/1
Joe Hachem 40/1
Jennifer Harman 40/1
Vanessa Rouss 40/1
Huck Seed 40/1
Vanessa Selbst 40/1
John Juanda 40/1
Jason Mercier 40/1
Sorel Mizzi 40/1
Ayaz Mahmood 40/1
Thomas Marchese 40/1
Phil Gordon 50/1
Greg Raymer 50/1
Peter Eastgate 50/1
Mike Matusow 50/1
Chris Moneymaker 75/1
Gabe Kaplan 75/1
Dennis Phillips 75/1
Jennifer Tilly 75/1
Melburn Whitmire 75/1
Don Cheadle 100/1
Jason Alexander 100/1
Kara Scott 100/1
Emmitt Smith 150/1

Which of the following players will Last longer in the 2011 NBC National Heads Up Poker Championship taking place in Las Vegas on March 4-6?
Daniel Negreanu -140
Annie Duke EVEN

Which of the following players will Last longer in the 2011 NBC National Heads Up Poker Championship taking place in Las Vegas on March 4-6?
Sorel Mizzi -120
John Racener -120

Which of the following players will Last longer in the 2011 NBC National Heads Up Poker Championship taking place in Las Vegas on March 4-6?
Tom Dwan EVEN
Phil Ivey -140

Which of the following players will Last longer in the 2011 NBC National Heads Up Poker Championship taking place in Las Vegas on March 4-6?
Joe Cada -120
Jonathan Duhamel -120

Will at least one of the following Celebrities make Round 3 of the 2011 NBC National Heads Up Poker Championship taking place in Las Vegas on March 4-6? (Jason Alexander, Don Cheadle, Emmitt Smith, Jennifer Tilly)
Yes +110
No -150

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Bodog – New Deron Williams/Devin Harris NBA Props

02/24/2011

Click here to bet these exciting props at Bodog!

New Jersey Nets – Total Wins by the New Jersey Nets for the rest of the regular season (25 games)
Over 11.5
Under 11.5

How Many Points will Deron Williams average as a member of the New Jersey Nets during the 2010-2011 NBA Season?
Over 20.5
Under 20.5

How Many Assists will Deron Williams average as a member of the New Jersey Nets during the 2010-2011 NBA Season?
Over 9.5
Under 9.5

Utah Jazz – Total Wins by the Utah Jazz for the rest of the regular season (24 games)
Over 10.5
Under 10.5

Will the Utah Jazz make the playoffs in the 2010-2011 NBA Season?
Yes +200
No -300

How Many Points will Devin Harris average as a member of the Utah Jazz during the 2010-2011 NBA Season?
Over 15
Under 15

How Many Assists will Devin Harris average as a member of the Utah Jazz during the 2010-2011 NBA Season?
Over 7.5
Under 7.5

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Bodog – Carmelo Anthony Props

02/22/2011

Click here to bet these NBA betting props at Bodog

Total Wins by the New York Knicks for the rest of the regular season (28 games)
Over 16.5
Under 16.5

New York Knicks – Exact Season Result
NBA Champions 30/1
Knicks Lose in Title Game 20/1
Knicks Lose in Eastern Conference Finals 8/1
Knicks Lose in Eastern Conference Semi Finals 3/1
Knicks Lose in Eastern Conference Quarter Finals 4/9
Knicks Eliminated in Regular Season 11/1

How Many Points will Carmelo Anthony average as a member of the New York Knicks during the 2010-2011 NBA Season?
Over 27.5
Under 27.5

How Many Rebounds will Carmelo Anthony average as a member of the New York Knicks during the 2010-2011 NBA Season?
Over 6.5
Under 6.5

How Many Points will Chauncey Billups average as a member of the New York Knicks during the 2010-2011 NBA Season?
Over 15.5
Under 15.5

How Many Assists will Chauncey Billups average as a member of the New York Knicks during the 2010-2011 NBA Season?
Over 6.5
Under 6.5

Total Wins by the Denver Nuggets for the rest of the regular season (25 games)
Over 11.5
Under 11.5

Denver Nuggets – Exact Season Result
NBA Champions 100/1
Nuggets Lose in Title Game 40/1
Nuggets lose in Conference Finals 16/1
Nuggets Lose in Conference Semi Finals 8/1
Nuggets Lose in Western Conference Quarter Finals 11/10
Nuggets Eliminated in Regular Season 4/5

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20 Days Left In Bodog’s Another Day, Another Dollar Promotion

02/22/2011

Bodog’s blockbuster "Another Day Another Dollar" promotion is still underway, giving you until March 15th to get up to $30 in bonus cash from the online poker room, just by playing like you normally would. Every day you earn 10 poker points goes towards a bonus amount and the more days you get points, the bigger your reward can be!

Earn 10 points on 15 days of the promotional period, you’ll get $20. Earn the required number of points on 20 days, you’ll get $30. In fact, players that started with the promotion on its first day (February 14th) had the ability to earn up to $100 in bonus money for their poker play. Get started at Bodog and you can get more than just a deposit bonus – take advantages of great promotions like this one that reward their players.

As you play at Bodog Poker, you’ll receive progress emails to let you know when you’re about to reach a milestone and when you’ve banked extra bonus dollars in your account. Want more details and information on how to get started? Visit the Another Day Another Dollar Page at Bodog today!

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John Ryan – MLB Futures Bet

02/18/2011

My favorite and most profitable sport just started Spring Training. MLB is a sport that so many amateur betters disregard and lose solid money making opportunities in the process. I can’t remember a year, where the spread between the weak and strong teams have so wide. The Phillies, Red Sox, and Yankees are considered to be the best teams by significant margins based on the current line posted for the World Series. The Phillies are 3/1, The Red Sox 5/1, and the Yankees are roughly 15/2. After these three teams the lines jump to 20/1 and higher for teams like the Rangers, Twins. Reds, Cardinals, Chicago White Sox, and the defending World Series Champion San Francisco Giants. I like the Phillies and this does represent the first time in my 17-year career that I am going with the favorite on a futures bet in MLB.

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Bodog – NBA All Star Game Props

02/17/2011

Player to score first in the 2011 NBA All Star Game
Dwight Howard (East) 9/2
Kevin Durant (West) 5/1
LeBron James (East) 11/2
Carmelo Anthony (West) 6/1
Dwyane Wade (East) 6/1
Amare Stoudemire (East) 13/2
Kobe Bryant (West) 13/2
Derrick Rose (East) 7/1
Kevin Love (West) 7/1
Chris Paul (West) 8/1

Odds to win the 2011 NBA All Star Game Most Valuable Player
LeBron James (East) 13/2
Kobe Bryant (West) 13/2
Kevin Durant (West) 15/2
Dwyane Wade (East) 17/2
Derrick Rose (East) 17/2
Dwight Howard (East) 17/2
Carmelo Anthony (West) 10/1
Blake Griffin (West) 10/1
Amare Stoudemire (East) 12/1
Kevin Love (West) 15/1
Paul Pierce (East) 15/1
Chris Paul (West) 15/1
Dirk Nowitzki (West) 18/1
Rajon Rondo (East) 20/1
Pau Gasol (West) 20/1
Ray Allen (East) 25/1
Joe Johnson (East) 25/1
Chris Bosh (East) 25/1
Kevin Garnett (East) 25/1
Deron Williams (West) 25/1
Tim Duncan (West) 30/1
Manu Ginobili (West) 35/1
Russell Westbrook (West) 40/1
Al Horford (East) 50/1

Odds To win the 2011 Slam Dunk Contest
Blake Griffin (LAC) 4/11
DeMar DeRozan (TOR) 5/2
JaVale McGee (WAS) 13/2
Serge Ibaka (OKC) 15/2

Odds to win the 2011 NBA All Star Foot Locker 3 Point Contest
Ray Allen (BOS) 2/1
Paul Pierce (BOS) 3/1
Kevin Durant (OKC) 4/1
Dorell Wright (GSW) 9/2
Daniel Gibson (CLE) 5/1
James Jones (MIA) 11/2

Odds to win the 2011 NBA All Star Rookie Challenge Most Valuable Player
Blake Griffin (Rookies) 3/1
Tyreke Evans (Sophomores) 7/1
Stephen Curry (Sophomores) 7/1
DeMar DeRozan (Sophomores) 8/1
Jrue Holiday (Sophomores) 8/1
DeMarcus Cousins (Rookies) 9/1
John Wall (Rookies) 9/1
Serge Ibaka (Sophomores) 12/1
Brandon Jennings (Sophomores) 12/1
DeJuan Blair (Sophomores) 15/1
Taj Gibson (Sophomores) 15/1
Wesley Matthews (Sophomores) 15/1
Derrick Favors (Rookies) 15/1
Wesley Johnson (Rookies) 15/1
Eric Bledsoe (Rookies) 18/1
Greg Monroe (Rookies) 18/1
Landry Fields (Rookies) 18/1
Gary Neal (Rookies) 18/1

Who will score the first in the All Star Celebrity Game?
Common (Celebrity) 3/1
Zach Levi (Celebrity) 7/2
Justin Bieber (Celebrity) 4/1
Ty Burrell (Celebrity) 9/2
Rob Kardashian (Celebrity) 5/1
Jason Alexander (Celebrity) 11/2

Who will score the first in the All Star Celebrity Game?
Magic Johnson (Legend) 2/1
Bill Walton (Legend) 3/1
Jalen Rose (Legend) 7/2
Scottie Pippen (Legend) 4/1
AC Green (Legend) 9/2
B.J. Armstrong (Legend) 5/1

Odds to win the 2011 Haier Shooting Stars Competition
Team Texas (Dirk Nowitzki, Roneeka Hodges, Kenny Smith) 3/2
Team Los Angeles (Pau Gasol, Tina Thompson, Rick Fox) 2/1
Team Atlanta (Al Horford, Coco Miller, Steve Smith) 5/2
Team Chicago (Taj Gibson, Cathrine Kraayveld, Steve Kerr) 3/1

Click here to bet on the 2011 NBA All Star Game

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