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Prince Fielder – Total HR’s in the 2012 Regular Season
Over/Under 36½
Prince Fielder -Total RBI’s in the 2012 Regular Season
Over/Under 120½
Prince Fielder – Batting Average in the 2012 Regular Season
Over/Under .290
Prince Fielder – Will he win the AL MVP?
Yes 7/1
Who will record more Home Runs in the 2012 Regular Season?
Albert Pujols -1
Prince Fielder +1
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What position will the first player who tests positive for HGH play?
Pitcher 1/1
Outfielder 17/10
Infielder 13/4
Will a MLB player test positive for HGH before June1 2012?
Yes 1/1
No 5/7
Will the first MLB player to test positive for HGH come
American League 1/1
National League 5/7
Will a former all-star test positive for HGH in the 2012-2013 Season?
Yes 5/1
Will a former league MVP or Cy Young Winner Test Positive for HGH in the 2012-2013 Season?
Yes 20/1
The Philadelphia Phillies have established the best record in baseball despite having a largely inconsistent offense. I would not advise anyone on betting against them failing to win the National League East Division Championship or the National League Pennant.
Since Charlie Manuel has managed this team the Phillies have played their best baseball in the second half of the season. Here is a look at how the Phillies have played since the all star break under Manual’s leadership. The Phillies went 43-30 after the break in 2005, 45-30 in 2006, 45-29 in 2007, 40-26 in 2008, 45-31 in 2009, and 50-25 in 2010.
At 57-34, the Phillies have 71 games remaining and using history as an example it is quite reasonable to expect them to go 45-26, which would give the 102-60 final season record. This also would make my preseason bet of over 97 wins a winner.
Get winning MLB picks from John Ryan at Vegas Experts.
Today’s daily betting blog is going to focus on many of our hot expert handicappers, who are currently killing the books with their baseball picks!
Scott Spreitzer has swept the board each of the last three days, going a PERFECT 7-0! He has two more winners lined up for today. Get them now!
Big Al McMordie swept the board for a 2nd time in 3 days yesterday, going 2-0. Tonight, he has one of his famous MLB Roadkill Plays available. These coveted plays are on a 16-7 Run.
Matt Fargo went a perfect 3-0 on Wednesday to fuel his already strong 32-15 Run w/ MLB sides. You can get all three of his winners today for just $54 or you can subscribe for an entire week for just $179!
Moving away from our sports handicappers for a second, we wanted to remind you that it is not too late to enter for your chance to win $3000 from Bodog Sportsbook. Derek Jeter is now only three hits away from becoming the first Yankee in history to join the 3,000 hit club! Bet $20 on tonight’s Rays/Yankees game and if Jeter gets a hit, you will automatically be entered to win the $3,000 grand prize. Those who made a wager of at least $20 on last night’s Yankees game are now entered. Bet again tonight to increase your chances of winning $3,000!
Here’s an interesting tidbit. Nine of Washington’s last 10 wins have come by exactly one run, including all three in their current series with the Cubs. Will the Nationals finish the sweep tonight?
How about a free MLB pick for today? Take Cincinnati (+105) over Milwaukee.
One of the sabermetrics that has always puzzled me is a starting pitcher’s strand rate for runners left on base (sometimes referred to as “LOB”). Often baseball analysts will argue that a certain starting pitcher has been either lucky or unlucky given an abnormally high or low strand rate. If this assessment was true, this would be valuable handicapping information moving forward since it is reasonable to expect that this strand rate percentage would regress back to the norm.
I am skeptical that strand rate is a helpful sabermetric for starting pitchers and MLB handicapping. First, isn’t it true that certain pitchers raise their level of play when pitching under stressful conditions? I have heard John Smoltz speak to this directly. Good pitchers respond to the pressure of the moment. Second, the argument that strand rate is all about luck seems to fly in the face of reality. Here are the five pitchers with the highest strand rates as of today: Karstens, W. Rodriguez, Jurrjens, Beckett and Shields. Have these pitchers just been lucky this season? That seems doubtful since they all were considered some of the better pitchers in the league (the only questionable starter on this list is Karstens — and I think, if anything, he remains undervalued rather than overvalued right now). Here are the five pitchers with the lowest strand rates: Carmona, Vazquez, Happ, Jimenez and Hochevar. Are they having bad seasons primarily because they are unlucky regarding leaving runners on base? Outside of Jimenez, these pitchers entered the year without getting much respect.
Jimenez is the interesting name here because maybe his disappointing season could be explained by some unfortunate series of events when he has had runners on base (as well as dealing with early injuries). I think those who view strand rate as a function of luck are doing so because they also believe that once a ball is put into play, the pitcher is not responsible for what then happens in the field (this is the assumption behind looking to Defense/Fielding Independent Pitching Stats). I buy this to an extent regarding ground balls — but I become much more leery when it comes to screaming line drives hit into the gap. But if anything, Jimenez has been lucky regarding ground balls given his GB BABIP of .189 (versus Colorado’s overall .217 GB BABIP). Looking deeper, 24.7% of the runs scored in the National League entering the day were products of ground balls — yet Jimenez has seen just 6 of the 48 runs (12.5%) he has allowed come from ground balls that (supposedly) would be dependent on his defense. These numbers suggest that is Jimenez has not been unlucky. Lets turn to line drives. Jimenez has allowed 19 of his 49 allowed runs to be scored on line drives. This 40% rate is over 50% higher than the 26.7% rate from which runs are scored on line drives in the National League (as of today). Rather than being unlucky, the Jimenez example suggests his low strand rate is a product of getting hit hard when runners are on base. In fact, looking deeper into the numbers with him suggests that strand rate may be, in fact, a function of how effective a pitcher is performing under stress. Cliff Lee, Jack Morris and Luis Tiant all agree!
We have to start off today’s MLB betting blog by congratulating Marc Lawrence, who cashed last night’s Double Guarantee on the Mets, who were an underdog that won 16-9! That’s 14 straight MLB winners for Marc! Subscribe today and save 60% in July.
Another hot handicapper you need to check out is Tom Freese. This MLB expert has cashed nine straight 3-packs of 10* WINNERS and is now 17-9 his L26 MLB Picks and 49-30 L79 MLB Picks. Get his latest 3-Pack this afternoon.
The Philadelphia Phillies go for a 3-game sweep this afternoon at home at Boston, but the bigger story could be the total. Both games so far have gone Under and today’s looks like a good bet to do the same with a lefty vs. lefty pitching matchup of Jon Lester vs. Cole Hamels.
Lester has never lost to Philadelphia in two starts, posting a 0.64 ERA. Hamels has never lost to Boston in three starts, posting 1.71 ERA. Lester has also gone Under in seven straight starts where he was listed as the underdog. The Phillies as a team are 11-0 Under in Interleague Play this year. Tonight’s total is currently 7.5 runs.
It’s an afternoon heavy card Thursday with six of nine games starting at 3:30 ET earlier. Hurry and visit the MLB Picks Page at Vegas Experts.
We got a lot of positive feedback in regards to yesterday’s debut of the MLB betting blog as the plays we recommended all wound up winning and the free betting trends also paid off. Here’s what to look for today.
First off, as you should know, Marc Lawrence is on an incredible 13-0 winning run with his MLB Picks! After taking yesterday off, Marc is back with another winner today – and it comes with a special Double Guarantee. That means this play must win for you or if not, we will email you Marc’s next MLB pick free of charge. It’s tough to find a better offer out there on this red-hot handicapper.
It just keeps getting worse for the Florida Marlins. Last night, they were one-hit in a 1-0 loss at Oakland, dropping them to 3-23 in the month of June as a $100 per game player would now be up $1905 had he/she played against the Marlins in all of those games. Incredibly, 12 of the Marlins’ 23 losses have come by one run, including last night, and if you took the run line in those games you would actually be 9-3! Check out our free preview of tonight’s matchup vs. the A’s.
Congrats are in order to Carlo Campanella, who cashed his Interleague Game of the Year on Arizona over Cleveland last night. Many of our other experts were on this play as well. Every day we display the past results of the previous day’s selections. Check it out – Ben Burns, Big Al McMordie and Larry Ness all swept the board on Tuesday.
Finally, we want to make you aware of a change in our popular matchup pages. They are now brought to you by our top recommended sportsbook Bodog and are better than ever. Check them out now for yourself!
How much will the LA Dodgers be sold for?
1 Billion or more -120
Under 1 Billion -120
We hope that this blog can become a regular feature here at Vegas Experts and can be a sort of “one stop shop” for MLB betting and a good source to help you make MLB picks.
We need to start off by congratulating Marc Lawrence, who is now on a 13-0 MLB Run following last night’s 5-0 winner on the Cincinnati Reds, who came in as +125 underdogs! Subscribe today and don’t miss Marc’s next winner.
The Red Sox and Phillies start a marquee three-game series tonight in Philadelphia. Live Betting is available on this matchup tonight at Bodog Sportsbook. The pitching matchup of Josh Beckett vs. Cliff Lee should be excellent. We’ve found a couple of key betting trends for this matchup as the Phillies are 9-0 Under in Interleague Play this season while Boston is 8-2 as an underdog.
The Florida Marlins are a terrible 3-22 in the month of June with Sunday’s 2-1 loss to Seattle being perhaps the most painful. However, did you know that half of the Fish’s losses this month have come by one run? Might not be a bad team to look at on the run line. Click here for a free preview of tonight’s Florida vs. Oakland matchup.
Tampa Bay vs. Cincinnati should be an interesting matchup tonight. Rays starter David Price has a 20-5 team start record off a team loss while the Reds are averaging 6.2 runs per game vs. lefties.
There is an early game today as the Giants and Cubs play a day/night doubleheader. First pitch for Game 1 is at 2:20 eastern time. Former oddsmaker Lenny Del Genio is 6-1 the last two days and has the Game 1 winner for you right here.
Finally, we want to let you know that the Iron Horse Carlo Campanella is releasing his Interleague Game of the Year tonight! This is a very popular pick and Carlo is on an 8-3 winning run in MLB.
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