Chicago (-3) at Buffalo (40): This game will be held in Toronto, an annual excursion by the Bills, who are 0-3 ATS in true home games this season + off back to back OT losses on the road. Chicago has lost two straight games at home and is off its bye week. Bears won the previous meeting 40-7, in 2006.
San Diego (-3) at Houston (51): Two of the NFL’s biggest underachievers meet in Houston this week with the 4-3 Texans off a Monday Night loss to Indianapolis and 3-5 San Diego still looking for its first road win. The Chargers are 0-4 SU/ATS away from home this year despite a +195 edge in total yards in those games. Texans are 0-3 SU/ATS all-time vs. the Lightning Bolts.
New Orleans (-6.5) at Carolina (41): The oddsmakers were a bit slow in posting a number on this NFC matchup due to the questionable status of various running backs on both sides. These are two of the worst pointspread teams in the league with the Saints 2-5-1 ATS and the Panthers 2-5 ATS. Carolina did cover as 12.5-pt dogs in New Orleans five weeks ago in a 16-14 defeat.
Arizona (41) at Minnesota (-9): The Vikings are a mess with QB Favre hobbled, WR Moss cut and HC Childress incompetent. Sadly, the Cardinals may be in worse shape as they are 0-3 SU/ATS on the road this year, getting outscored 104-27. They have no QB with both Derek Anderson and Max Hall completely ineffective. Minnesota is 11-1 SU L12 home games, including 7-1 ATS run.
Tampa Bay (44.5) at Atlanta (-8): This game will decide first place in the NFC South as both come in at 5-2 SU. The Bucs five wins have come against Cleveland, Carolina, Cincinnati, St. Louis and Arizona. They have proven to be road warriors, however, as they are 6-1 L7 ATS on the road, including four straight outright wins. Last four meetings have all gone Under the total.
NY Jets (-4) at Detroit (41.5): The Jets were the first team to be shutout in a game this season as they came out flat off the bye week and lost 9-0 to the Packers last week. Detroit has been a huge money maker this season, going 6-1 ATS with the lone non-cover coming by a single point.
Miami (40) at Baltimore (-5): The Dolphins have an incredible road/home dichotomy going this year, but not what you’d expect. Through seven games, they are 4-0 SU/ATS on the road and 0-3 SU/ATS at home. Long-term, they are on an 11-3 ATS run as a road dog. The Ravens are off a bye week and have crushed Miami each of the prior two meetings.
New England (-4.5) at Cleveland (43.5): Don’t look now, but the Pats are the only one-loss team remaining in the league. Browns HC Mangini was 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS vs. former teacher Belichick and New England during his Jets tenure. Browns are off a bye and on a 10-4 ATS run dating back to last season following a stunning upset (+13) of New Orleans two weeks ago.
NY Giants (-6.5) at Seattle (41): This smells like a trap game for the Giants. The Seahawks are 3-0 SU/ATS at home (10-3 ATS L13), but off a terrible 33-3 loss to the Raiders. New York is off a bye and has won its last four games despite 11 turnovers over that span. The Giants D has knocked five different quarterbacks out of the game this year.
Kansas City (40.5) at Oakland (-2.5): Who had this game as the battle of the top two AFC West teams come Week 10. The Raiders are at .500 in November for the first time since 2002, when they went to the Super Bowl. They have outscored their last two opponents by a stunning 92-17 margin. The Chiefs are on a 7-2 ATS run in road games. Last four meetings have gone Under with an average total points of just 28.8.
Indianapolis (46.5) at Philadelphia (-3): Mike Vick is back at QB for the Eagles against a Colts team working on a short week. Philly is off the bye week and 17-5 ATS when playing with rest, which predates the HC Reid era. Something has to give here as the Eagles are 2-5 ATS L7 home games, but Indy is 1-3 ATS on the road this year.
Dallas (45.5) at Green Bay (-8): The Cowboys could be the worst team in football and are definitely its least profitable (1-6 ATS). Ten of the previous 13 meetings between the teams have gone Over and Dallas has gone Over in its last four games overall. The Packers have seemingly righted the ship with wins over the Vikings and Jets the last two weeks.
Pittsburgh (-4.5) at Cincinnati (41.5): The Bengals are in free fall with an 0-4 SU/ATS mark last four games, so if a Monday Night home game against the division rival Steelers can’t inspire them, then nothing will. Pittsburgh is on a 14-5 ATS run in Cincinnati, but lost both games to the Bengals last year.
